Journeying to Sukhum, one could almost feel like being
in a normal country. Soon after leaving Gali, the road becomes much better. In
fact, the road north of Gali is in the process of being re-asphalted. Maybe it
will soon extend through Gali to the boundary. But if that happens, I suspect
it will be because the Russians, the source of the lion’s share of Abkhazia’s
budget, want a proper road for their military base at the boundary, not out of
any sense of responsibility towards the Georgian inhabitants of Gali. The
police-manned barriers along the road to Sukhum (all up, with no stops during
my journey) are a rather intimidating reminder that this is not a normal country.
The burned-out former government building, Sukhum
To an extent, life in Sukhum does seem rather routine.
Visiting in July, the place is thronged with Russian tourists there for a
seaside holiday. They perhaps give it a more bustling appearance than would be
the case out of season. But since the expulsion of its Georgians, Sukhum is a much
emptier place than it once was. Away from the seafront, the centre of tourist
activity, and a few renovated streets in the town centre, there are lots of
abandoned, derelict buildings, the still unhealed scars of the war. The
government building, burned when the Abkhazian forces took Sukhum in September
1993, remains as it was, a burned out shell. Like many buildings, the railway
station, a vast, typically Soviet structure, is gradually being taken over by
greenery. Perhaps this has been the fate of sacked cities over millennia; a
remaining, truncated population retreats to a few areas of the town, leaving
the rest to collapse and return to nature.
Nature reclaims the ruins, Sukhum
Neal Ascherson described a visit to Abkhazia not long
after the conflict in his brilliant book, Black Sea: The Birthplace of
Civilisation and Barbarism. At that stage Sukhum was barely functioning, its
officials working without pay, its ministers without proper doors to their
offices. That is no longer the case. Government offices stand amid well-groomed
parks; vehicles, complete with Abkhazian license plates (a crucial symbol for a
new state), stop at traffic lights and are directed by traffic police; banks open
and close. The place works.
It does better than just work. The seafront is really pleasant,
a shady walk, flanked on one side by a mass of pink oleanders, eucalyptus, and
palm trees. The lush green of Abkahzia’s sub-tropical climate is a great
attraction. It is easy to see why so many Georgians speak wistfully of how much
they miss Sukhumi. At one end of the promenade, near the president’s office,
men sit in the shade of the oleanders, playing chess and other board games,
drinking coffee. There is a special kind of coffee here, Turkish coffee with
its own little quirk. The individual cezve coffee pots, filled with coffee and
hot water, are pulled to and fro in a tray of burning hot sand until the mushy
scum that forms on top just begins to rise and boil over. Once or twice a day I
watch this ritual, before taking my little cup to sit under the oleanders,
looking out at the sea.
Coffee under the oleanders, Sukhum
Seeing the hordes of Russian tourists on the beaches,
in the restaurants and coffee shops, I cannot help wondering whether this might
not be the basis of a viable economy. Its other asset, its climate, is suitable
for growing citrus and tropical fruits for export. Mandarins are ubiquitous; I
did not, however, find freshly squeezed mandarin juice to be a pleasing
substitute for orange juice. But no. In reality, Abkhazia depends on the
Russian subsidy, and it is the Russians who run the place.
A visit to the Abkhazian foreign ministry, to pick up
my visa, was instructive. I had made a note of the address, and there, sure
enough, was a large official looking building. The foreign ministry, I thought.
But no. The foreign ministry was just one short corridor up the stairs on the
first floor. The building housed other ministries and government agencies as
well. The finance ministry was situated on a similarly short corridor opposite
the foreign ministry. On the foreign ministry corridor, there was an office
with a couple of desks for the consular section, another room for protocol, one
for information and so on. And just one lavatory, a gents. I guessed that the
ladies’ was across the way, in the finance ministry. It brought home what a
toy-town place Abkhazia is, recognised as independent only by Russia,
Nicaragua, Venezuela and the Pacific island states of Nauru and Vanuatu (as
well as South Ossetia, Nagorno-Karabakh and Transnistria, themselves not widely
recognised).
Following the brief renewal of conflict over South
Ossetia and the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008, the Russian army took
control of Abkhazia’s boundary. Many Abkhazians did not like it, and there was
even some resistance. The degree of dependence on Russia is troubling to many
Abkhaz. But they have no choice. This is not an independent country; its
sovereignty is a sham. What the Russians intend in the longer term, whether the
eventual goal might be the full incorporation in the Russian Federation, is
hard to guess. Probably they are keeping their options open. Even before the
2008 conflict, a leading Georgian international affairs expert told me in
Tbilisi that he did not believe Georgia would ever recover Abkhazia (South
Ossetia, given its proximity to Tbilisi, was another matter). Yet most of the
world continues to affirm its support for Georgia’s sovereignty in Abkhazia and
South Ossetia. What must be especially unsettling for the Abkhaz is the thought
that a future, post-Putin Russian government might one day change its policy,
decide to improve its relations with the West and to normalise relations with
Georgia.
For the time-being it is hard to see circumstances in
which Abkhazia’s status vis-à-vis Georgia could be resolved. Despite Tbilisi’s
attempts to sweeten the prospect of a return to the Georgian fold, including the
offer extensive autonomy for Abkhazia, there is, for the present, no incentive
for the Abkhazians to take up such offers as long as they enjoy Russian
support. But their position is precarious, dependent on Moscow’s goodwill and
its ongoing bad relations with Georgia.
It is easy to sympathise with the Abkhaz; subjected to
ethnic cleansing by imperial Russia, to a colonial policy which saw their
territory swamped by other nations, and to oppression and forced assimilation
policies under the Georgians Stalin and Beria (Abkhazia’s longstanding Greek
community was, like other Black Sea Greeks, transported into exile by Stalin,
their place taken by inward Georgian migration). That Abkhaz were resentful is
little wonder. Georgians have rarely shown much sensitivity to smaller peoples
in territory they regard as their own. For many, Abkhazia is Georgian land, and
that is all. In so far as they would be permitted to exist as a distinct
people, Abkhaz feared they faced a future similar to that of the native
Americans, living in villages in the hills, much like reservations, while most
of Abkhazia was thoroughly Georgianised. Some Georgians do acknowledge the
distress of the Abkhaz. One young woman in Tbilisi told me that, if she were an
Abkhaz, she would not want to live in Georgia. Another Georgian admitted that
the Abkhaz had been treated like second-class citizens during Soviet times.
As the Soviet Union broke up, the Abkhaz saw their
opportunity, like other submerged nations, the Baltic peoples and the Georgians
themselves, to escape such a fate. But the road they took meant the forcible
expulsion of the Georgian population, another injustice that did not in any way
erase the earlier injustices suffered by the Abkhaz, but rather compounded
them. Of course, there are other examples of states founded upon the violent
expulsion of people whose presence was undesirable. Israel springs to mind. But
the Abkhazians are less likely to get away with it.
It need not have been so. Unfortunately at the time of
the conflict, the government in Tbilisi was dominated by nationalists with no
sense of any need to reassure the Abkhaz (or the South Ossetians) about their
position in an independent Georgia, or to reach compromises with them. But what
kind of future can there be for a state ruled by a people less than 100,000
strong, a minority in their own land, based on the expulsion of nearly half its
population, and utterly dependent on a big neighbour whose future support
cannot be relied upon? For now, the Abkhaz may see little reason to compromise.
The Georgian government, powerless as it is at present to restore its rule in
Abkhazia, is offering compromises. Abkhaz suspicions about its good faith are
understandable, given the record, including the attempt to retake South Ossetia
by force in 2008. The Georgians have a lot to prove. But a future as a fief of
Putin’s Russia, based upon the denial of the fundamental rights of the Georgian
expellees, cannot be a sound foundation for statehood.